Early & Accurate Forecasting of Mid Term Wind Energy Based on PCA Empowered Supervised Regression Model

Early & Accurate Forecasting of Mid Term Wind Energy Based on PCA Empowered Supervised Regression Model

Pijush Dutta 1, Neha Shaw 2, Kuntal Das3 , Luna Ghosh4

Computational Intelligence and Machine Learning . 2021 October; 2(1): 53-64. Published online October 2021

doi.org/10.36647/CIML/02.02.A006

Abstract : Wind energy is a renewable energy resource used for generating electricity without affecting the environmental balance. Hence forecasting of the wind speed is an important parameter to generate the electricity as well as utilization of electric power at the peak in deficiency, moreover controlling the overload of the grids. Machine learning algorithms (MLAs) are a part of the AI model which can be used as an intelligent management system to predict the generated power from wind speed. In this examination in general exploration performed into two prediction phases: Development stage and assessment Stages. In the Development stage, information about the environment should be accessed. This data is pre-processed with the help of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to reduce the irrelevant attributes. After that MLA’s such as Decision Tree (DT), Random Forest (RF), KNN, Linear regression (LR) & multilayer Neural Network model (MLP-ANN) models are utilized in testing datasets to predict the wind energy. The Power which is determined necessities to check and separate from the first ability to refresh the framework until and except if the necessary dependability is assembled from learning. In the assessment stage, the prepared expectation framework is then utilized to anticipate the Power for the test samples. In this research four statistical performance indicators & training time used to identify the best-fitted model. In the analysis section, it is seen that PCA Based DT outperformed the others algorithm by means of MAE, MSE, RMSE, Regression & Training time.

Keyword : Wind speed prediction, Machine Learning techniques, Regression Analysis, Performance metrics